Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.Australia's unemployment rate in November was 3.93%, which is estimated to be 4.2%.He was sentenced to 12 years in prison for selling more than 80 classified documents to pay off gambling debts. Today, the Ministry of National Security announced two anti-espionage cases: when experts in the core scientific research field of a university went abroad for face-to-face signing, visa officials kept asking about the research progress and the source of project funds, which aroused the experts' vigilance and immediately reported to the school and state security organs. During the academic conference, the experts met with people from abroad, and the other side hoped to carry out "deep cooperation" by providing academic convenience as bait. In the end, the experts calmly responded and reported to the school as soon as they returned to China, which not only protected their personal safety but also effectively safeguarded the core secret safety. Li Moumou, the core secret-related personnel of an institution, is addicted to online gambling and owes huge gambling debts. In order to repay the debt, Li took the initiative to hook up with overseas spy intelligence agencies, took photos of more than 80 classified documents and sent them to the other party, collecting spy funds of more than 100,000 yuan. The state security organs detected the case in time, and Li was sentenced to 12 years in prison for espionage. There are obvious loopholes in the anti-espionage security work of Li's unit, and three responsible personnel have been punished by party discipline and government affairs. (CCTV)
Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Jiuwu Hi-Tech: the first successful candidate for the procurement project of China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Company, with a bid price of 125 million yuan. Jiuwu Hi-Tech announced on December 12, and on December 11, the procurement e-commerce platform of China Minmetals Group Co., Ltd. released the "Announcement of Successful Candidates for the Procurement of Adsorbent Supply, Filling and Related Services for the Construction and Installation Project of Lithium Project in China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Co., Ltd.", and the company was the first successful candidate for this project. The company's tender offer is 125 million yuan, accounting for 16.56% of the company's audited operating income in the previous year.On the evening of December 10th, Sunac announced that two bonds, H6 Rongdi 01 and H0 Sunac 03, had taken the lead in voting on restructuring, and the other eight bonds still had two weeks to vote, and the voting results of the overall restructuring of 10 bonds would finally be ushered in on December 23rd. On November 27th, Sunac announced the second restructuring plan for domestic bonds, involving four restructuring options and a total of 10 bonds. Some analysts said that although the final result has not yet been settled, two bonds successfully passed the restructuring vote in a short period of time, indicating that some investors still have confidence in Sunac. Liu Shui, director of enterprise research at the China Central Finger Research Institute, told reporters that the recent stabilization of the real estate market and the improvement of creditors' confidence will be beneficial to the debt restructuring of real estate enterprises in danger. (21 Finance)
The strategy of Guojun Junan Household Appliances in 2025: The subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and the leading enterprises with leading layout will continue to be optimistic about going out to sea. Guotai Junan said that in 2024, the domestic sales category will be divided and the overall export will be stable. The household appliance industry presents four key words: looking at the sky/involution/multi-point flowering/continuous going out to sea. Looking forward to 2025: look forward to the domestic demand policy and continue to be optimistic about the sea leader. Subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and we will continue to be optimistic about leading enterprises with leading layout. Be optimistic about the leading enterprises and pay attention to three main lines: 1) Continue to be optimistic about the leading enterprises under the logic blessing of trade-in and going out to sea; 2) For industries with pure domestic demand, pay attention to the turning point of enterprises; 3) Pay moderate attention to the fermentation of potential themes, such as AI+ intelligence and the reform of state-owned enterprises, and the growth of mergers and acquisitions.Australia's ASX 200 index narrowed to 0.1%, and the Australian dollar increased. The just released Australian employment data was better than expected.18 shares were rated by brokers, and Yuhetian's target increased by 54.72%. On December 11th, a total of 18 shares were rated by brokers, and 6 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Yuhetian, Steady Medical Care and Fulongma ranked in the top, with increases of 54.72%, 19.96% and 17.62% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 12 stocks remain unchanged and 6 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, one stock attracted the attention of many brokers, and Hagrid Communications was ranked in the top number, with two brokers rating it respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the rated stocks are bought, the number of rated stocks for technical hardware and equipment, capital goods and materials II is the largest, with 4, 3 and 2 respectively.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide